16 Jul · 23:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PC
🇵🇱Pawel Chojnacki
ELO 1393
FormLLWLW
85%Win chancemodel fair 1.18Molenda
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1787
FormWWWWW
15%
85%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 85% · 1.18vsMarket 89% · 1.13· vig 5%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~73 pts
0-3
42%
1-3
30%
2-3
13%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+394
H2H16-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+394)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-0)