17 Jul · 00:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1359
FormWWLLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1551
FormLLWLW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
14%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+192
H2H19-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+192)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-16)