17 Jul · 00:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1544
FormWLWWW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Molenda
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1790
FormWWWWW
25%
75%
🌟Zelezik covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 74% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+246
H2H9-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+246)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-1)