17 Jul · 01:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1391
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skorski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1347
FormWLWWL
55%
45%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H49-57
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)