17 Jul · 01:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1481
FormLWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Pelka
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1391
FormLLWWL
60%
40%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+90
H2H13-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-6)