17 Jul · 03:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1349
FormLLWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Orszulik
JO
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1454
FormWWWLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Orszulik
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)