17 Jul · 03:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1389
FormLWLLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1516
FormWLLWL
36%
64%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~79 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+127
H2H50-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-18)