17 Jul · 04:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1343
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kaczmarek
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1383
FormLLWLL
46%
54%
🌟Kaczmarek goes over total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Kaczmarek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+40
H2H26-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.