17 Jul · 05:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1541
FormWWWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Zochniak
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1382
FormLWWWL
67%
33%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+159
H2H18-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-5)