17 Jul · 06:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1541
FormWWWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Zochniak
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1370
FormLLLLL
68%
32%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sulkowski🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+171
H2H17-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-3)