17 Jul · 06:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1294
FormLWWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Paszkiewicz
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1438
FormLLLWL
35%
65%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Paszkiewicz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+144
H2H20-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-6)