17 Jul · 07:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1495
FormWLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Pelka
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1383
FormLWLLW
62%
38%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H13-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-7)