17 Jul · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1289
FormLLWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Pelka
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1495
FormWLWWL
29%
71%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+206
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+206)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)