17 Jul · 08:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1546
FormWWWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Zochniak
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1377
FormLLWWW
68%
32%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 80% · 1.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+169
H2H19-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+169)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-5)