17 Jul · 07:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1376
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kotyl
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1377
FormLLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Sulkowski covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Kotyl
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+1
H2H16-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.