17 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1408
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rudomina
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1369
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
🌟Rudomina stays under total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+39
H2H23-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.