17 Jul · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1450
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pelka
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1502
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
🌟Paszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 92% (13)
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)