17 Jul · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1606
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1657
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)