17 Jul · 09:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1514
FormLWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Mitas
JM
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1609
FormWWWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Mitas
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)