17 Jul · 10:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1514
FormLWLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Minda
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wandachowicz
ELO 1343
FormLLLLL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+171
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)