17 Jul · 09:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1653
FormWLWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Pruszkowski
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1452
FormLWWLW
71%
29%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+201
H2H13-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+201)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-9)