17 Jul · 11:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1653
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pruszkowski
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1624
FormWWWWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+29
H2H20-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.