17 Jul · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1649
FormWLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Pruszkowski
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1570
FormWWWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H28-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-27)