17 Jul · 13:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1498
FormLWWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Lilien
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wandachowicz
ELO 1324
FormLLLLL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Lilien
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+174
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)