17 Jul · 12:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1565
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Mitas
JM
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1618
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Glanowski🌟Glanowski covers set handicap as underdog 76% (29)
Fair odds · Mitas
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)