17 Jul · 18:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1411
FormLWLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Wojtaszczyk
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1640
FormWWWLL
27%
73%
🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 62% (29)
Fair odds · Wojtaszczyk
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~77 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+229
H2H10-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+229)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-2)