17 Jul · 18:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MO
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1529
FormLLLLW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Strowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Strowski
ELO 1775
FormWLWWW
25%
75%
🌟Strowski goes over total as favourite 68% (65)
Fair odds · Strowski
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~76 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+246
H2H29-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+246)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-4)