17 Jul · 17:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1434
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Krupa
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1490
FormLWLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H4-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)