17 Jul · 20:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1592
FormWWLWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Kolodziej
KK
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1742
FormWWLWW
34%
66%
🌟Marchlewski goes over total as underdog 67% (30)
Fair odds · Kolodziej
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+150
H2H58-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (58-0)