17 Jul · 13:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1373
FormLWLLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1570
FormWWWWW
29%
71%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+197
H2H20-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+197)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-5)