17 Jul · 15:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1581
FormLLWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Wichowski
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1441
FormLLLWL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+140
H2H48-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-19)