17 Jul · 15:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1645
FormWLWWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Pruszkowski
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1436
FormLLLLW
72%
28%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+209
H2H13-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+209)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-10)