17 Jul · 18:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1554
FormLLLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Oracz
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1725
FormLWWLW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+171
H2H23-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)