17 Jul · 18:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1657
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pruszkowski
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1596
FormWWWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)