17 Jul · 18:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1441
FormLLLLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Jedrzejowski
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1570
FormWLLLL
36%
64%
Fair odds · Jedrzejowski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+129
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)