17 Jul · 18:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1627
FormLWWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Skotniczny
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1444
FormWLLLL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+183
H2H30-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+183)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)