17 Jul · 18:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1337
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Strus
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1301
FormWLWLW
54%
46%
🌟Strus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 7% (14)
Fair odds · Strus
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+36
H2H14-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.