17 Jul · 19:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1347
FormLLLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Adach
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1464
FormLWWWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Adach
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+117
H2H39-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-21)