17 Jul · 19:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1351
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kowalczyk
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1301
FormWLWLW
56%
44%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (25)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 39% · 2.57· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H5-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)