Marcin Kowalczyk vs Kacper Marchlewski — TT Elite Series

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17 Jul · 18:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1379

3-0Final setsKowalczyk won

🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski

ELO 1329

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marchlewski at 60%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 3-0 — the underdog won.

Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Kacper Marchlewski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Kacper Marchlewski favoured — closing 1.46

Upset

Total 74.5

54 points played

Under

Set handicap

Kacper Marchlewski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Kacper Marchlewski −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.3

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Kacper Marchlewski.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 36% → final 100%

Kacper Marchlewski ▼

Biggest swing 64 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 36%52 points · 3 games