17 Jul · 21:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1361
3-1Final setsFira won
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1458
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Adach at 54%. The actual result was Damian Fira 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Rafal Adach favoured — closing 1.58
Total 76.5
71 points played
Set handicap
Rafal Adach −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Rafal Adach −3.5 points
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.41
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Damian Fira is favoured to win, below means Rafal Adach.
▲ Damian Firapre 49% → final 99%
Rafal Adach ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsFira recovered from 36%70 points · 4 games