18 Jul · 01:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1360
3-0Final setsWiza won
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1446
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Adach at 63%. The actual result was Roman Wiza 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Rafal Adach favoured — closing 1.64
Total 75.5
48 points played
Set handicap
Rafal Adach −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Rafal Adach −3.5 points
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.36
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Roman Wiza is favoured to win, below means Rafal Adach.
▲ Roman Wizapre 39% → final 99%
Rafal Adach ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsWiza recovered from 39%47 points · 3 games