18 Jul · 11:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MD
🇵🇱Maciej Domin
ELO 1719
FormLLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Wederlich
DW
🇵🇱Damian Wederlich
ELO 1808
FormWWWWW
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Domin🌟Domin goes over total as underdog 74% (39)
Fair odds · Wederlich
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)