18 Jul · 11:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JW
🇵🇱Jacek Wieczerzak
ELO 1480
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wieczerzak
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1447
FormLLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Wieczerzak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+33
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.