18 Jul · 06:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1466
3-1Final setsLinek won
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1516
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Minda at 55%. The actual result was Adam Linek 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Michal Minda favoured — closing 1.57
Total 81.5
82 points played
Set handicap
Michal Minda −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Michal Minda −3.5 points
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.64
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Linek is favoured to win, below means Michal Minda.
▲ Adam Linekpre 41% → final 0%
Michal Minda ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsMinda recovered from 30%72 points · 5 games