18 Jul · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1391
FormLLLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1561
FormLWWWW
32%
68%
🌟Oracz covers set handicap as favourite 66% (35)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+170
H2H14-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+170)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-8)