18 Jul · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1576
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Witczak
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1496
FormWLWWW
59%
41%
🌟Baron covers set handicap as underdog 62% (32)
Fair odds · Witczak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+80
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)