18 Jul · 09:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1564
FormLWWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kolek
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1466
FormWLLLW
61%
39%
🌟Kolek goes over total as favourite 75% (24)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+98
H2H19-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-9)