18 Jul · 09:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1518
FormWLLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Adamus
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1353
FormLLWWL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+165
H2H16-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-0)