18 Jul · 10:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1507
FormWWLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Morawiec
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1391
FormLLLLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Morawiec
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H26-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-14)